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Sound investment decisions are built on economic understanding. At Chakor, our Economy section covers the macroeconomic trends, policy shifts, market movements, and financial developments that directly influence real estate, construction, and investment across Pakistan.

Whether you are tracking inflation, interest rates, or GDP growth, we break down what matters and what it means for your decisions.

RDA Inflows Hit Monthly High of $321 Million in April
CategoriesNews Budget Economy

RDA Inflows Hit All-Time Monthly High of $321 Million in April 2026

KARACHI: Roshan Digital Accounts (RDA) recorded their highest-ever monthly inflow of $321 million in April 2026, according to data released by the State Bank of Pakistan (SBP), marking a significant milestone in Pakistan’s efforts to attract diaspora investment through digital banking channels.

The April figure represents a month-on-month increase of $60 million over March’s inflow of $261 million, pushing total cumulative inflows into RDA since the scheme’s inception to $12,747 million.

Despite the record inflows, outflows also remained substantial. A total of $191 million was repatriated or locally utilised during the month, comprising $28 million in outward repatriation and $164 million deployed within Pakistan, causing the Net Repatriable Liability (NRL) to expand by $130 million in April.

On a cumulative basis, total repatriation and local utilisation now stand at $10,203 million, of which $2,056 million has been repatriated abroad while $8,147 million has been utilised domestically. The overall NRL currently stands at $2,544 million, equivalent to 19.96% of total RDA.

Within the NRL, Islamic Naya Pakistan Certificates (NPC) account for the largest share at $1,155 million, followed by account balances at $641 million, Conventional NPC at $555 million, equity investments at $123 million, and other liabilities at $70 million.

The scheme also continues to demonstrate strong year-on-year growth. Total inflows during the current financial year reached $2,184 million, compared to $1,925 million in the corresponding period last year, a rise of approximately 13.5%.

Repatriation and local utilisation during the same period came in at $1,630 million, up from $1,460 million a year earlier. On the participation front, 10,083 new accounts were opened during April alone, bringing the total number of RDA accounts to 927,483.

The record monthly inflow underscores sustained overseas Pakistani confidence in the RDA platform and signals continued momentum in foreign currency mobilisation through digital channels heading into the final stretch of the fiscal year.

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CategoriesBudget Economy Investment News Special Report Tax

Pakistan and IMF Chart Course for Budget 2026–27: A Critical Analysis

Pakistan and IMF Chart Course for Budget 2026–27: A Critical Analysis

By News Desk | May 14, 2026

Pakistan’s Finance Minister Senator Muhammad Aurangzeb met with a visiting International Monetary Fund (IMF) mission on May 13, 2026, in Islamabad for high-level discussions on the country’s macroeconomic outlook, the upcoming federal budget for fiscal year 2026–27, and the broader structural reform agenda. The meeting comes at a pivotal moment: the IMF had just approved a fresh disbursement of approximately $1.3 billion five days earlier, and Pakistan is navigating a complex economic environment shaped by external debt pressures, a volatile global commodity landscape, and the ongoing fallout from the Middle East conflict.

The Meeting: What Was Discussed

The talks, held between Minister Aurangzeb and IMF Mission Chief Ms Iva Petrova, covered four broad areas: macroeconomic stabilisation, upcoming budget preparations, structural reform priorities, and Pakistan’s engagement with international development partners.

According to the Ministry of Finance, both sides exchanged views on “maintaining reform momentum, preserving macroeconomic stability, and advancing structural reforms to promote investment, productivity, and export-led growth.” 

The minister highlighted improvements in Pakistan’s external sector, citing month-on-month and year-on-year growth in remittances and exports as evidence of strengthening macroeconomic fundamentals.

Aurangzeb framed the government’s reform agenda as a long-term and technically grounded one designed to break Pakistan’s historical pattern of boom-and-bust economic cycles. He stressed the importance of structural reforms, productivity enhancement, deregulation, and improved export competitiveness. He also briefed the delegation on Pakistan’s economic cooperation with China and efforts to attract long-term foreign investment.

The meeting was attended by key institutional heads, including State Bank of Pakistan (SBP) Governor Jameel Ahmad, Finance Division Secretary Imdad Ullah Bosal, and Federal Board of Revenue (FBR) Chairman Rashid Mahmood Langrial.

The $1.3 Billion Disbursement: Context and Significance

The meeting followed the SBP’s announcement that it had received SDR 914 million, approximately US$1.3 billion under two IMF programmes: the Extended Fund Facility (EFF) and the Resilience and Sustainability Facility (RSF). This brings total disbursements under both arrangements to SDR 3,348 billion, or roughly $4.8 billion.

The IMF Executive Board had approved the disbursement on May 8, 2026, following the successful completion of the third review under Pakistan’s 37-month EFF arrangement, which was first approved on September 25, 2024. 

An additional SDR 154 million (approximately $220 million) was disbursed under the RSF, the climate-focused facility approved on May 9, 2025, aimed at helping Pakistan build resilience against natural disasters.

The funds were credited to SBP accounts on May 12, 2026, and will be reflected in Pakistan’s official foreign exchange reserve figures for the week ending May 15, 2026.

IMF Deputy Managing Director Nigel Clarke, speaking after the Executive Board meeting, offered a pointed message alongside the approval: “Pakistan needs to maintain strong macroeconomic policies while accelerating reform efforts, which are critical to managing external shocks and fostering higher sustainable medium-term growth.” Clarke specifically flagged that shocks from the Middle East conflict underline the continued urgency of structural reforms.

IMF’s Formal Assessment

In its end-of-mission statement from March 2026, following the third EFF review, the IMF noted that “programme implementation under the EFF remained broadly aligned with the authorities’ commitments through end-February 2026.” The Fund acknowledged progress on fiscal consolidation, monetary policy tightening, and energy sector reforms, while also noting that discussions on deepening structural reforms were still ongoing.

Pakistan has committed under the programme to maintaining a primary budget surplus of 1.6% of GDP for FY2026, moving toward a 2% surplus target by FY2027. The IMF has maintained these targets firmly, declining to ease them despite weak tax collection performance by the FBR earlier in the year.

IMF Mission Chief Iva Petrova acknowledged that Pakistan’s authorities “remain committed to pursuing sound and prudent macroeconomic policies to preserve the recent gains in macro-financial stabilisation, while deepening structural reforms to accelerate growth and strengthening social protection to mitigate the impact of volatile energy prices on the most vulnerable.”

Budget 2026–27: What to Expect

According to sources cited by Business Recorder, the government is unlikely to introduce new taxes in the upcoming budget, instead aiming to meet its revenue targets through enforcement and administrative measures estimated at Rs 778–780 billion. The budget is expected to offer some relief to the salaried class, with Aurangzeb reportedly seeking to lower tax rates and raise the taxable income threshold in recognition of salaried workers’ disproportionate contribution to tax revenue.

The IMF delegation is also expected to consult with the Ministry of Energy and other departments on structural reforms in the power sector and state-owned enterprises (SOEs), aligning expenditure planning and revenue targets ahead of the formal budget presentation.

Expert Opinions: Cautious Optimism Mixed With Structural Concerns

While the IMF approval has been broadly welcomed as a confidence-building signal, independent economists have urged caution.

Analysts cited by Energy Update noted that “the IMF approval will provide short-term stability to financial markets while reinforcing investor confidence in Pakistan’s economic reform agenda and long-term fiscal sustainability.” However, they stopped short of calling the situation structurally resolved.

Economist Sajid Amin, commenting on the FY2025–26 budget earlier in the cycle, which set the framework now being built upon, offered a pointed critique: “Overall, I feel the budget falls short on structural and bold reforms; it is a stabilisation budget formed to meet revenue targets. The objective or principle guiding the budget is the incoming IMF tranche.” His view reflects a broader concern that Pakistan’s fiscal decisions are being shaped primarily by programme compliance rather than domestic economic strategy.

Economist Ali Hasnain echoed this, describing the prior budget as “relatively disciplined but within the status quo,” while warning that tariff reductions favouring import-dependent industries such as auto and mobile manufacturing do little for export competitiveness and remain “a road to nowhere.”

Perhaps most critically, economist and policy analyst Dr. Nadeem ul Haque, writing in a review of Pakistan’s economic press coverage, challenged the broader reform narrative head-on: “Pakistan has been in and out of IMF programs for four decades. Which structural reforms from earlier cycles actually survived?” He argued that the IMF’s diplomatic language, “accelerating reform efforts,” masks a recurring failure to build lasting institutional capacity. 

He described repeated cycles of tax reform, energy reform, privatisation, and governance reform returning under new labels, and characterised the programme’s revenue-heavy, expenditure-light architecture as potentially counterproductive: “Raising rates while undermining the productive base that generates the denominator of the very ratio being targeted is not fiscal reform, it is fiscal cannibalism.”

On the energy sector, one of the most critical areas of the reform agenda, Business Recorder’s editorial commentary noted that the circular debt, now approaching Rs 1.9 trillion, is not merely a cash-flow management challenge but rather “the accumulated financial residue of twenty years of politically driven IPP contracting, below-cost tariffs, and deep governance failure.”

The Bigger Picture: Stability Versus Transformation

The central tension in Pakistan’s current economic trajectory is one that the Aurangzeb-IMF meeting placed on full display: the difference between macroeconomic stabilisation and genuine structural transformation. Pakistan’s foreign exchange reserves have improved, reaching $16 billion by the end of December 2025, up from $14.5 billion in June 2025, and inflation has been brought progressively under control. These are measurable gains.

Yet the structural challenges, such as a narrow tax base, a bloated public sector, energy sector inefficiencies, high external liabilities, and a persistent inability to generate export-led growth, remain largely unresolved. The government’s stated commitment to moving Pakistan away from boom-and-bust cycles is not new; the same language has featured in reform agendas under multiple administrations.

What sets the current moment apart, analysts note, is the combination of continued IMF engagement, a Finance Minister with clear private-sector credentials, and crucially $4.8 billion in cumulative programme disbursements that have restored a degree of fiscal credibility. 

Whether this translates into durable transformation will depend on the content of Budget 2026–27, the pace of SOE privatisation, and the government’s ability to broaden the tax base without further burdening an already stretched formal sector.

Conclusion

The May 13 meeting between Finance Minister Aurangzeb and the IMF mission was substantive and, by official accounts, constructive. Pakistan has made measurable progress on macroeconomic stabilisation, a point the IMF itself has acknowledged. The $1.3 billion disbursement reflects continued programme compliance and offers near-term support to foreign exchange reserves.

However, the harder work of structural transformation in taxation, energy, governance, and SOE reform remains incomplete. As Budget 2026–27 takes shape, the critical question is whether the government will use this window of relative stability to introduce genuinely bold reforms, or whether, as critics have cautioned, the budget will once again be calibrated primarily around programme targets rather than Pakistan’s long-term economic needs.

References

Clarke, N. (2026, May 8). Statement on the IMF Executive Board approval of third EFF review for Pakistan. International Monetary Fund. https://www.energyupdate.com.pk/2026/05/09/imf-approves-1-3bn-for-pakistan-warns-of-rising-risks-from-middle-east-conflict/

Dawn. (2026, May 13). Finance minister discusses budget preparations with visiting IMF mission. https://www.dawn.com/news/1999908

Dawn. (2025, June 10). ‘Short of structural, bold reforms’: Finance experts unpack 2025–26 budget. https://www.dawn.com/news/1916314

International Monetary Fund. (2026, March 11). Pakistan: End-of-mission statement on the third review of the 37-month extended arrangement under the EFF and the second review of 28-month arrangement under the RSF. https://www.imf.org/en/news/articles/2026/03/11/pr-26075-pakistan

International Monetary Fund. (2026, March 27). IMF reaches staff-level agreement on the third review for the 37-month extended arrangement under the EFF and the second review under the RSF Pakistan. https://www.imf.org/en/news/articles/2026/03/27/pr-26095-pakistan

Kundi, I. A. (2026, May 14). Finance minister briefs IMF on upcoming budget. The Nation. https://www.nation.com.pk/14-May-2026/finance-minister-briefs-imf-upcoming-budget

Petrova, I. (2026, March 27). IMF reaches staff-level deal with Pakistan for $1.2bn tranche after third EFF review. The Express Tribune. https://tribune.com.pk/story/2599737

ul Haque, N. (2026, May 8). A review of economic journalism and opinion pages, May 1–8, 2026: More information, limited inquiry. Nadeem ul Haque Substack. https://nadeemulhaque.substack.com/p/a-review-of-economic-journalism-and

Web Desk. (2026, May 13). FinMin Aurangzeb discusses upcoming budget preparations, economic reforms in meeting with IMF mission. The Express Tribune. https://tribune.com.pk/story/2607861

Web Desk. (2026, May 13). Pakistan, IMF discuss upcoming federal budget. Business Recorder. https://www.brecorder.com/news/40420959

CategoriesNews Economy Investment Property Property Laws Real Estate Real Estate Investment

KP passes property Act 2026 to protect overseas Pakistanis’ properties

PESHAWAR: The Khyber Pakhtunkhwa Assembly has passed the Overseas Pakistanis Property Act 2026 to protect properties owned by overseas Pakistanis and ensure faster resolution of related disputes.

The law, introduced by Provincial Law Minister Aftab Alam, is aimed at preventing illegal occupation, unlawful transfer, and other property-related issues faced by expatriates in the province.

Under the Act, special courts will be established across Khyber Pakhtunkhwa in consultation with the Peshawar High Court. These courts will be headed by judges of the rank of Additional District and Sessions Judge, while pending property cases involving overseas Pakistanis will also be transferred to the special courts.

The law requires such cases to be decided within 120 days, while appeals must be filed within 15 days. Overseas Pakistanis will also be able to submit applications online, making the legal process more accessible for those living abroad.

The Act further allows testimony to be recorded through video link, enabling applicants to take part in court proceedings without travelling to Pakistan. Court notices may also be served through mobile phones, email, and mosques to improve communication and reduce delays.

The legislation also includes provisions to stop illegal transfer of properties and assist in rent recovery for overseas Pakistanis. Officials said the measure is intended to strengthen legal protection, improve access to justice, and build confidence among expatriates regarding their properties in Khyber Pakhtunkhwa.

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CategoriesSpecial Report Economy Investment News

Pakistan’s Reserves Rise by $23m, Signalling Steady Financial Recovery

Pakistan’s foreign exchange reserves continued their gradual upward trend this week, with the State Bank of Pakistan (SBP), the country’s central bank, reporting a $23 million increase for the week ended April 30, 2026. While the figure itself is modest, it reflects an incremental recovery that economists and policymakers have been closely tracking as Pakistan works to stabilise its external financial position.

Foreign exchange reserves, in the simplest terms, are the dollars and other foreign currencies that a country keeps in reserve. Think of them as the national savings account held in foreign money. These reserves are used to pay for imports, repay foreign loans, stabilise the national currency, and demonstrate to the rest of the world that a country can meet its financial obligations. When they rise, it signals strength. When they fall, alarm bells ring.

The Numbers at a Glance

The State Bank of Pakistan reported a $23 million increase in its foreign exchange reserves during the week ended April 30, 2026, which reached $15.85 billion. The country’s total liquid foreign reserves stood at $21.29 billion, of which commercial banks held net reserves of $5.44 billion.

The data also showed a slight increase in commercial banks’ reserves, which grew by $170,000 to reach $5.4428 billion. Overall, Pakistan’s total foreign exchange reserves recorded a combined increase of $24.5 million, bringing the national total to $21.2935 billion.

It is important to understand the difference between these two figures. The SBP’s reserves of $15.857 billion are the government-held reserves that are directly available for managing exchange rate pressures, paying sovereign debt, and financing critical imports.

The commercial banks’ reserves are separately managed and not directly deployable by the government in the same way. Together, the two pools form Pakistan’s total liquid foreign reserves.

What This Means for the Rupee

Alongside the reserves data, the currency market provided a broadly stable reading. The rupee saw a marginal gain of Rs 0.01 against the US dollar, closing at 278.71 in the interbank market against the previous close of 278.72.

A one-paisa movement is numerically negligible. But what it signals is arguably more important than the size of the shift: the rupee is not under fresh pressure. For a currency that spent years in near free-fall, losing more than half its value against the dollar between 2021 and 2023, a period of exchange rate stability is itself a meaningful development.

Stability in the rupee directly benefits ordinary Pakistanis, as it prevents further spikes in the prices of imported goods from fuel and edible oil to medicines and electronics.

The IMF Dimension: A Critical Near-Term Catalyst

The weekly reserve figure gains considerably more weight when placed in the context of an anticipated IMF disbursement that has been the focus of Pakistan’s financial managers and market observers alike.

The IMF Executive Board was scheduled to consider Pakistan’s Staff-Level Agreement on May 8, 2026. If approved, the country was expected to receive around $1.2 billion in fresh funding under its ongoing financial support programme.

The Ministry of Finance and the State Bank of Pakistan showed unanimous optimism over economic growth and achieving fiscal and current account targets, with the development coming amid anticipated approval of disbursements worth over $1.2 billion by the IMF.

SBP Governor Jameel Ahmad, testifying before the National Assembly’s Standing Committee, stated that the current fiscal year would end with foreign exchange reserves of $17 billion. The IMF staff mission was also expected to visit Islamabad on May 15 for finalisation of the next fiscal year (2026–27) budget in consultation with the Ministry of Finance, the SBP, the FBR, and the Power and Petroleum Divisions.

Taken together, these developments paint a picture of a government actively managing its external financing calendar and, for the moment, keeping pace with its obligations.

Gold Markets: A Parallel Development

The week’s financial news was not limited to reserves. Pakistan’s domestic gold market saw a sharp upward movement, closely tracking international price gains.

In the local market, the price of gold per tola jumped Rs7,800 to settle at Rs496,762, according to rates issued by the All-Pakistan Gems and Jewellers Sarafa Association.

Similarly, the price of 10-gram gold increased by Rs6,687 to Rs425,893. Internationally, spot gold gained 1% to $4,733.59 per ounce, after touching a two-week high earlier in the trading session.

The rally was driven by geopolitical factors: improving sentiment around a potential US-Iran diplomatic agreement eased fears of prolonged instability and lowered expectations of persistently high interest rates, both of which support investor appetite for gold.

Interactive Commodities Director Adnan Agar, commenting on the market, noted that gold had shown strong intraday volatility. He stated that for the bullish trend to continue, gold would need to cross and close above $4,875, with the next target at $4,850, followed by $4,900, and eventually the psychologically important $5,000 mark. He cautioned that if the market closed below $4,700, it would enter a dangerous zone where prices could decline towards $4,500.

Expert Analyst Perspectives – Cautious Optimism from Markets

Mohammad Sohail, CEO of Topline Securities, one of Pakistan’s leading brokerage firms, attributed the broader reserve improvement trend to a combination of policy actions and improving fundamentals.

He noted that the rise in foreign exchange reserves reflects improved external account management, higher remittances, better exports, and disciplined policy actions under the IMF’s guidance. He had also projected that reserves would surpass $17 billion by June 2026, citing strong remittances and a reduction in interest payments as key drivers.

Analysts at Arif Habib Limited provided a useful benchmark for measuring the practical impact of reserve movements. Following an earlier reserve jump triggered by an IMF disbursement, they calculated that the improvement in reserves had strengthened Pakistan’s external buffer, with import cover rising from 2.41 months a week earlier to 2.62 months, based on average imports of the last three months.

The number of months a country could theoretically continue importing without any new foreign inflows is a key health metric for any economy’s reserve position. Three months is the internationally recognised minimum safe threshold.

More broadly, market analysts pointed to the investment dimension of rising reserves. Analysts noted that stronger reserves reduce perceived risk, making Pakistan a relatively more attractive destination for portfolio and direct investments.

This shift could gradually ease borrowing costs and improve access to international capital markets. However, the same analysts added that confidence remains highly sensitive to policy consistency and global economic conditions.

A Dissenting, Structural View

Not all expert commentary has been optimistic. Dr. Raania Ahsan, a PhD economist and former Executive Director General at the Board of Investment in the Prime Minister’s Office, offered a sharper and more cautionary assessment in a widely-read analysis published in The Express Tribune in April 2026.

She argued that Pakistan’s external stability is measured more in optics than in underlying strength, warning that the country’s reserves are not entirely organic, being built on a combination of IMF disbursements, bilateral deposits, and administrative controls on imports and currency movement. In other words, they reflect managed stability, not deep structural health.

She flagged the reported repayment of billions to the UAE funds that had been rolled over annually as signalling the erosion of the assumed rollover comfort, noting that the transition from rollover to repayment fundamentally alters the external financing equation.

On the role of the IMF, Dr. Ahsan drew a critical distinction: stabilisation should not be mistaken for resolution. The IMF addresses liquidity issues. Pakistan’s challenge is one of structural solvency.

She concluded that Pakistan’s current external stability is sustained not by expansion but by compression through restricted imports, managed currency markets, and tight interest rates.

These measures have bought time but have not resolved the underlying imbalance between what the country earns and what it spends in foreign exchange. Exports remain narrow and insufficient.

A separate risk scenario, cited in regional financial coverage, added a sobering stress-test dimension: analysts noted that Pakistan has very limited room to absorb a fuel price hike because of its thin foreign exchange reserves, dependence on imported energy, and reliance on IMF-backed reforms, underscoring that the reserve cushion, while growing, remains sensitive to external commodity shocks.

Conclusion

Pakistan’s $23 million weekly increase in SBP foreign exchange reserves is, in isolation, a small number. But it belongs to a consistent pattern of week-on-week improvement that reflects a country working methodically to rebuild its financial resilience. The stability of the rupee, the improving reserve trajectory, and the anticipated IMF disbursement together paint a cautiously constructive picture.

Yet, as both market analysts and independent economists make clear, the headline reserve figure tells only part of the story. The reserves are still supported by external financing rather than export-driven organic growth, and the gap between managed stability and durable resilience remains real. The question Pakistan’s economy must ultimately answer, as Dr. Ahsan pointedly framed it, is not whether it can meet its next obligation, but whether it can build a system that stops depending on constantly preparing for the next one.

Citations

  1. Hanif, U. (2026, May 8). Foreign reserves rise by $23m. The Express Tribune. https://tribune.com.pk/story/2606902/foreign-reserves-rise-by-23m
  2. Pakistan’s foreign exchange reserves rise by $23 million in a week. (2026, May 7). Dunya News. https://dunyanews.tv/en/Business/950262-pakistans-foreign-exchange-reserves-rise-by-23-million-in-a-week
  3. Kiani, K. (2026, May 7). Finance ministry, SBP show optimism over economic growth amid expected $1.2bn tranche from IMF. Dawn. https://www.dawn.com/news/1998450
  4. SBP Reserves Increase By $730 Million Just Weeks Ahead of Next IMF Meeting. (2026, April 30). ProPakistani. https://propakistani.pk/2026/04/30/sbp-reserves-increase-by-730-million-just-weeks-ahead-of-next-imf-meeting/
  5. Pakistan’s Forex Reserves Rise by $730 Million Ahead of IMF Board Review. (2026, April 30). Bloom Pakistan. https://bloompakistan.com/pakistans-forex-reserves-rise-ahead-of-imf-review/
  6. Pakistan foreign exchange reserves jump sharply. (2026, April 30). Times of Islamabad. https://timesofislamabad.com/30-04-2026/pakistan-foreign-exchange-reserves-jump-sharply/
  7. Ahsan, R. (2026, April 20). Between reserves and reality: external sector under pressure. The Express Tribune. https://tribune.com.pk/story/2603647/between-reserves-and-reality-external-sector-under-pressure
  8. Pakistan’s foreign reserves reach $21.09b, boosted by IMF inflows. (2025, December 19). The Express Tribune. https://tribune.com.pk/story/2582945/import-cover-improves-to-262-months
  9. Pakistan exceeds IMF target as SBP reserves reach $14.5 billion. (2025, July 3). Geo.tv. https://www.geo.tv/latest/612144-pakistan-exceeds-imfs-target-with-sbps-reserves-reaching-145bn
  10. Pakistan reserves could plunge to $1.6 billion by 2028 over fuel shock: Report. (2026). ProKerala / South China Morning Post report. https://www.prokerala.com/news/articles/a1757934.html
Solar Project Set to Turn Keenjhar Lake
CategoriesNews Developments Economy Investment Power/Energy Urban Developments & Planning

$243 Million Solar Project Set to Turn Keenjhar Lake Into a Power Plant

KARACHI: The Pakistani government has announced plans to develop a 500-megawatt floating solar power project at Keenjhar Lake in Sindh, marking a significant milestone in the country’s transition to clean, renewable energy. The project, estimated to cost $243.63 million, is projected to generate approximately 861.91 gigawatt-hours of electricity annually, operating at a capacity factor of 19.6%.

The electricity generated by the facility will be supplied to K-Electric under a long-term power purchase agreement. A letter of intent has already been secured from K-Electric, and the process to select Engineering, Procurement and Construction contractors through competitive bidding is currently underway. The Sindh Transmission and Dispatch Company has also signed a memorandum of understanding with GO Energy Private Limited to facilitate power transmission from the project site.

Situated 137 kilometres from Karachi on the surface of Keenjhar Lake, one of Sindh’s largest freshwater bodies, the project will utilise approximately 1,606 acres of the lake’s surface to accommodate nearly one million solar panels. The floating design offers dual advantages: it eliminates land acquisition challenges associated with conventional solar installations and leverages the natural cooling effect of water to improve panel efficiency and overall energy output.

The initiative aligns with Pakistan’s 2030 emissions reduction targets and is part of a broader national push to diversify energy sources and reduce dependence on costly imported fossil fuels. Construction is expected to commence in 2026, with commercial operations projected to begin by 2028. The project is also anticipated to generate significant employment during both the construction and operational phases.

However, the project has drawn concern from local fishing communities and environmentalists. As Keenjhar Lake falls within a designated Ramsar wetland site, experts have flagged potential risks to migratory bird habitats and local fisheries, underscoring the need for thorough environmental oversight throughout the project’s development.

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FBR Gets Formal Mandate to Levy
CategoriesNews Economy Tax

FBR Gets Formal Mandate to Collect PDL and Climate Support Levy

ISLAMABAD: The federal government has officially authorised the Federal Board of Revenue (FBR) to collect the Petroleum Development Levy (PDL) and Climate Support Levy (CSL) on petroleum products across Pakistan. The move formally designates the tax authority as a collection agent of the Ministry of Petroleum and Petroleum Division, marking a significant shift in the administrative handling of energy-related levies.

The development follows the issuance of SRO 800(I)/2026 by the FBR, which introduces key amendments to the Sales Tax Rules 2006. The notification establishes a revised collection mechanism under which the FBR will operate on behalf of the relevant ministries, streamlining the levy collection process within the existing legal framework.

A central feature of the new framework is the introduction of a Domestic Sales Invoice (DSI) system, designed to standardise reporting and strengthen compliance throughout the petroleum supply chain. Under this arrangement, all registered purchasers of petroleum products, including petrol pump operators, are now required to submit comprehensive transaction data in a prescribed format.

The mandatory disclosures include buyer details such as National Tax Numbers (NTN) and Computerised National Identity Card (CNIC) numbers, alongside HS codes, transaction dates, quantity sold in litres, total sales value, and separately itemised PDL and CSL amounts. Where exemptions or zero-rated supplies apply, relevant statutory references must also be provided.

The amendments specifically update Annexure-L of the monthly sales tax return form STR-7. Officials noted that the Climate Support Levy, introduced in the Finance Bill 2025 and effective since July 1, 2025, is intended to fund measures to address environmental and climate-related challenges.

Importantly, FBR officials clarified that no changes have been made to existing tax rates or the overall levy structure. The revision is purely administrative, aimed at improving documentation, transparency, and reporting standards across the petroleum sector.

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CategoriesNews Economy Investment Property Property Taxes Real Estate Investment

Punjab Property Valuation Reforms Target UAE and Gulf Investors

LAHORE: Punjab has started revising property valuation rates across several districts to encourage investment from the United Arab Emirates and other Gulf countries.

The revision was initiated after directions from the Board of Revenue Punjab. District administrations are reviewing local property rates and aligning them with Federal Board of Revenue benchmarks for the upcoming fiscal year. The step aims to reduce tax-related hurdles in the real estate sector and make property transactions more practical for investors.

Officials believe that clearer and more balanced property valuation rules can improve investor confidence, particularly among UAE and Gulf-based investors interested in Pakistan’s real estate market.

The process is currently being carried out at the district level and is expected to affect property transactions in major urban centers. Real estate stakeholders have mixed views about the likely impact. Some expect the revised tax structure to increase buying and selling activity, while others believe the immediate benefits may mainly support large housing societies and major developers.

The changes are being prepared before the start of the new fiscal year. The revised valuation framework is expected to influence property taxes, transaction costs, and investment decisions across Punjab’s real estate sector.

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CategoriesNews Economy Investment

Gold Slips Sharply, Per Tola Price Down by Rs8,900

KARACHI: Gold prices fell sharply by Rs. 8,900 in Pakistan on Tuesday, following a major decline in the international market.

According to the All-Pakistan Gems and Jewellers Sarafa Association, the price of gold per tola dropped by Rs8,900 and reached Rs485,062. The price of 10 grams of gold also went down by Rs7,630 to Rs415,862. In the international market, gold prices decreased by $89 per ounce and settled at $4,627.

Silver prices also recorded a decline. The international price of silver fell by $2.38 per ounce to $73.27. In Pakistan, silver dropped by Rs238 per tola to Rs7,811, while the price of 10 grams of silver fell by Rs204 to Rs6,696.

The decline came after recent ups and downs in the bullion market. A day earlier, gold prices in Pakistan had increased by Rs800 per tola to Rs493,962, while the price of 10 grams had risen by Rs686 to Rs423,492.

Market experts said gold prices are being affected by changes in global markets, uncertainty in the world economy and tensions between the United States and Iran. Investors often move towards gold during uncertain times, but prices can also fall quickly when market conditions change.

The latest decline shows that gold prices remain highly unstable, both locally and internationally. Traders and buyers are expected to closely follow global market trends before making major buying or selling decisions.

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CategoriesSpecial Report Economy Feature Article Investment

SBP Raises Policy Rate to 11.5% as Middle East Tensions Fuel Price Pressures

On Monday afternoon, Pakistan’s central bank changed a number that touches nearly every aspect of economic life in the country, from car loans to factory financing. The State Bank of Pakistan (SBP) raised its policy rate by one full percentage point, from 10.5% to 11.5%, effective April 28, 2026. It was the first rate hike in nearly three years, and it caught most analysts off guard.

What Is the Policy Rate, and Why Does It Matter?

Think of the policy rate as the master dial controlling the cost of money in the economy. When the SBP raises it, commercial banks charge more on loans for homes, businesses, and cars. The idea is that pricier credit discourages excessive spending, which in theory slows inflation. When it cuts rates, borrowing gets cheaper, and the economy is nudged to grow faster.

What Prompted This Decision?

The SBP pointed squarely at the ongoing Middle East conflict. The war has pushed up global oil prices, raised freight charges for ships, and increased cargo insurance premiums. For Pakistan, a net energy importer, these translate directly into higher fuel, transport, and electricity costs at home.

Inflation, measured by the Consumer Price Index, stood at 7.3% in March 2026, reflecting moderate but persistent price pressures. Core inflation, the stickier, underlying measure that excludes volatile food and energy, climbed to 7.8%. Both were trending in the wrong direction.

The MPC’s own assessment was stark: the current supply shock may push inflation to double digits in the coming months, and it is expected to stay above the 5–7% target range for most of FY27. The SBP decided that waiting would be riskier than acting early.

Why Were Analysts Surprised?

Economists were divided over the SBP’s 100 bps rate hike, reflecting a broader debate over whether interest rates are the right tool for a supply-driven inflation shock.

Dr. Khaqan Najeeb, former adviser to the Ministry of Finance, called it “a strong pre-emptive response to a classic external supply shock,” but said the size of the move appeared high. In his view, a smaller increase may have sent the same signal while preserving policy flexibility.

That signalling effect is important: central banks raise rates not only to cool demand, but also to shape expectations and discourage businesses and workers from assuming inflation will keep rising.

Dr. Ashfaque Hasan Khan disagreed more strongly, arguing that the inflation pressure was not demand-led: “The rising prices are not due to excessive demand. They are primarily caused by increasing oil prices and supply chain disruptions, factors over which we have no control. The shock is coming from the supply side, for which interest rate is not an ideal policy instrument.”

He also warned that higher rates would raise the government’s borrowing costs and worsen fiscal pressure, adding, “Since we had committed to the IMF in the last review, we had to increase the interest rate. This has nothing to do with Pakistan’s current economic fundamentals.”

The Bigger Picture

Pakistan’s economy has been in recovery mode. Real GDP grew 3.8% in the first half of FY26, compared to just 1.9% in the same period a year earlier, while the current account posted a small surplus during July–March, supported by resilient workers’ remittances. 

FX reserves stood at around $15.8 billion as of April 24, with the SBP projecting a rise above $18 billion by June 2026, partly buoyed by a Eurobond issuance, Pakistan’s first return to international capital markets in over four years.

The less comfortable side: tax collection fell short of target by Rs 611 billion through March, and GDP growth for FY26 is now expected at the lower end of the projected range.

What It Means in Practice

Higher rates mean more expensive loans across the board. Small businesses relying on bank credit will feel the squeeze most. Savers, on the other hand, typically earn better returns when rates rise. For the government, servicing Pakistan’s large domestic debt becomes costlier, adding pressure to an already strained budget.

What to Watch Next

The next MPC meeting in June coincides with the federal budget, making it one of the most consequential economic moments of the year. If Middle East tensions cool and oil prices ease, the case for further hikes weakens, and cuts could return sooner than expected. If the conflict deepens, more tightening cannot be ruled out.

The clearest indicator to watch is core inflation. If it stabilises over the coming months, the rate hike is doing its job. If it keeps rising despite higher borrowing costs, it would suggest the real problem lies beyond the reach of monetary policy in global commodity markets and fiscal decisions that only the government can make.

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President Zardari Pushes for China Ties in Construction Machinery and Engineering

ISLAMABAD: President Asif Ali Zardari has called for stronger industrial cooperation with China, with special attention to construction machinery, engineering and technology transfer.

During his visit to Hunan province, President Zardari toured SANY Heavy Industry, a major Chinese manufacturer of heavy construction machinery. He was briefed on the company’s advanced manufacturing systems, production capacity, research work and use of digital technology.

The visit focused on possible cooperation between Pakistan and China in engineering, construction machinery, investment and technology transfer. These areas are important for Pakistan’s infrastructure development, where modern machinery and better technical skills can help improve project quality and efficiency.

The demand for better construction methods is also visible in Pakistan’s urban property market, especially in Islamabad’s Blue Area, where projects such as Citadel 7 and Citadel One3 reflect the move towards vertical, mixed-use and technology-driven real estate development.

President Zardari stressed the need to promote industrial technology, skills development and joint ventures. He said such partnerships could support Pakistan’s infrastructure and industrial growth. He also pointed to possible cooperation in construction machinery, digital manufacturing, renewable energy and engineering.

SANY Group Chairman Tang Xiuguo expressed interest in expanding cooperation with Pakistan in manufacturing, technology exchange and capacity building.

For Pakistan’s construction sector, closer cooperation with Chinese companies could improve access to modern equipment and technical knowledge. It may also help build local capacity through joint ventures and skills training.

The visit also fits into wider Pakistan-China cooperation, including industrial development and CPEC 2.0, which Hunan officials said they would continue to support.

For more news on real estate and special reports, visit Chakor Ventures.