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Pakistan Budget 2026-27 May Be Delayed to June 10 Amid $7 Billion IMF Talks

ISLAMABAD: Pakistan’s federal budget for fiscal year 2026-27 is unlikely to be presented on June 5, as previously expected, because some fiscal measures are still being discussed with the International Monetary Fund.

According to Reuters, a government source and local media reported on Wednesday that the budget may now be presented on June 10. The source said the delay is mainly linked to unresolved matters with the IMF over fiscal space, including funds that provinces may need to give up for federal spending.

The government has not officially announced a reason for the possible delay. Pakistan’s finance ministry did not immediately respond to Reuters’ request for comment.

Despite the expected delay in the budget presentation, the parliamentary session scheduled for June 5 is still expected to take place. The session may allow the government and opposition to discuss budget-related issues before the formal presentation.

Pakistan is currently under a $7 billion IMF bailout program, which has helped stabilize the economy after a difficult financial period. Any delay in finalizing the budget reflects the importance of IMF approval in shaping Pakistan’s spending and revenue plans.

The upcoming budget is being closely watched by businesses, investors, and the public, as the government is expected to balance demands for economic relief with the need to meet revenue targets. Key sectors, including real estate and construction, are hoping for tax relief, but final decisions may depend on the outcome of continuing talks with the IMF.

The budget delay adds uncertainty at a time when Pakistan is trying to maintain economic recovery while managing pressure on public finances.

For more news on real estate and special reports, visit Chakor Ventures.

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Budget 2026-27
CategoriesNews Budget Economy

Budget 2026-27: Pakistan and IMF Close In on Fiscal Agreement

ISLAMABAD: Pakistan’s federal budget negotiations with the International Monetary Fund have stretched beyond their original deadline, with both sides working to finalise key fiscal parameters ahead of the anticipated budget presentation on June 5, 2026.

The IMF mission, which had been scheduled to conclude discussions on Wednesday, extended its stay in Islamabad to resolve a handful of remaining outstanding issues. Sources familiar with the matter confirmed that most points of contention have been settled, signalling broad alignment between the two parties on the fiscal framework for the upcoming year.

On the revenue front, the Federal Board of Revenue has been assigned an ambitious collection target of Rs15.264 trillion for the next fiscal year, with an interim benchmark of Rs7.022 trillion due by December 2026. The Fund has recommended an 18% increase in petroleum levy collections, pushing the total petroleum development levy target to Rs1.73 trillion, with the per-litre levy potentially rising to Rs100. Additional revenues of Rs 95 billion are expected through tax audits, while Rs 50 billion in sector-specific recoveries are being sought from sugar, cement, tobacco, and fertiliser industries.

Provinces have been directed to contribute meaningfully to fiscal consolidation, with a combined surplus target of nearly Rs2 trillion and an additional revenue generation requirement of Rs430 billion. Provincial development allocations, meanwhile, are proposed to increase from Rs2.1 trillion to Rs2.5 trillion.

On the expenditure side, defence spending is set to rise modestly to Rs2.665 trillion, while debt servicing remains the dominant fiscal pressure, with interest payments projected at Rs7.8 trillion. Pakistan’s total external financing requirements are estimated at $21.2 billion.

In a notable social measure, quarterly disbursements under the Benazir Income Support Programme are set to increase from Rs14,500 to Rs18,000. Public sector development spending has been projected at approximately Rs. 968 billion.

The IMF has also called for Rs430 billion in new tax measures and a phase-out of incentives for special economic zones by 2035. Looking ahead, economic growth is projected at 3.5% with average inflation expected at 8.4%.

For more news on real estate and special reports, visit Chakor Ventures.

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CategoriesNews Budget Economy Property Property Taxes Real Estate Real Estate Investment

FPCCI seeks property tax relief to revive real estate, construction sectors

ISLAMABAD: The Federation of Pakistan Chambers of Commerce and Industry (FPCCI) has proposed major property tax reforms for the federal budget FY2026-27 to help revive Pakistan’s real estate and construction sectors.

According to FPCCI’s budget proposals, the current tax structure has made property transactions more expensive and slowed investment in the sector. The chamber has suggested reducing withholding tax under Section 236C on the sale of immovable property to a uniform 1% across all transaction values. At present, the rate can go as high as 5.5% on higher-value transactions and is charged on the gross transaction value, regardless of actual profit or loss.

FPCCI also proposed reducing advance tax under Section 236K on property purchases to a flat 1%, while abolishing advance tax on the first property purchase by a filer. The body said simpler and lower tax rates could encourage proper documentation, reduce under-reporting, and improve transparency in the property market.

The chamber further called for abolishing the tax on deemed income under Section 7E, saying it taxes assumed income from immovable property instead of actual earnings. It also recommended withdrawing Section 7F, under which builders and developers are taxed on 10% of gross receipts, regardless of their actual income.

FPCCI said balanced taxation could attract investment and support allied industries such as cement, steel, transport, and labour, helping generate wider economic activity.

For more news on real estate and special reports, visit Chakor Ventures.

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CategoriesNews Budget Economy Investment Tax

IMF Seeks Rs500bn New Taxes, Rs15.264trn FBR Target for FY2026–27

ISLAMABAD: Pakistan is facing mounting pressure from the International Monetary Fund (IMF) to introduce major tax reforms ahead of budget negotiations for fiscal year 2026–27. According to recent reports, the IMF has asked the government to generate nearly Rs500 billion through additional tax measures while setting an ambitious Federal Board of Revenue (FBR) tax collection target of Rs15.264 trillion.

A key part of the IMF’s proposal is the removal of all sales tax exemptions to create a more uniform taxation system. While the standard sales tax rate could be reduced from 22.8 percent to 18 percent, the withdrawal of exemptions is expected to widen the tax net and increase revenue collection. The IMF is also seeking around Rs778 billion through stricter enforcement measures.

The discussions include the expansion of the Third Schedule, which may bring products such as infant formula, dairy items, cooking oil, and other essential goods into a revised tax structure. This move alone is expected to generate around Rs100 billion in revenue.

In another major reform, authorities are considering making digital invoicing mandatory from July 1, 2026. Under the proposal, only digitally issued invoices would be accepted for tax purposes, a step projected to add another Rs100 billion to national revenue while improving transparency in business transactions.

The government is also reviewing a simplified taxation scheme for retailers and shopkeepers with annual turnover between Rs200 million and Rs250 million, potentially linked to electricity bills for easier collection.

Meanwhile, discussions on the controversial super tax suggest that an immediate withdrawal is unlikely, though a phased elimination over the next three years remains under consideration.

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CategoriesNews Budget Economy Tax

FPCCI proposes cut in salaried tax rate from 35% to 30% in budget 2026-27

ISLAMABAD: The Federation of Pakistan Chambers of Commerce and Industry has proposed major tax relief for the salaried class in the upcoming federal budget 2026-27.

In its budget proposals submitted to the Ministry of Finance, FPCCI recommended reducing the maximum income tax rate for salaried individuals from 35 percent to 30 percent. The business body also proposed abolishing the 9 percent surcharge currently imposed on salaried taxpayers.

FPCCI said the relief is needed because many salaried people are facing rising living costs due to inflation. It added that higher taxes have reduced the take-home income of workers, making it harder for families to manage everyday expenses.

The chamber also presented several other tax-related proposals for the business community. These include abolishing super tax, restoring the final tax regime for goods transport, and continuing the 25 percent export tax rate for the IT sector until 2035.

FPCCI further suggested increasing the SME turnover threshold from Rs250 million to Rs500 million. It also proposed reducing the income tax rate for manufacturers from 29 percent to 20 percent.

The proposals are aimed at reducing the tax burden on individuals and businesses, improving purchasing power, and encouraging economic activity in the country.

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RDA Inflows Hit Monthly High of $321 Million in April
CategoriesNews Budget Economy

RDA Inflows Hit All-Time Monthly High of $321 Million in April 2026

KARACHI: Roshan Digital Accounts (RDA) recorded their highest-ever monthly inflow of $321 million in April 2026, according to data released by the State Bank of Pakistan (SBP), marking a significant milestone in Pakistan’s efforts to attract diaspora investment through digital banking channels.

The April figure represents a month-on-month increase of $60 million over March’s inflow of $261 million, pushing total cumulative inflows into RDA since the scheme’s inception to $12,747 million.

Despite the record inflows, outflows also remained substantial. A total of $191 million was repatriated or locally utilised during the month, comprising $28 million in outward repatriation and $164 million deployed within Pakistan, causing the Net Repatriable Liability (NRL) to expand by $130 million in April.

On a cumulative basis, total repatriation and local utilisation now stand at $10,203 million, of which $2,056 million has been repatriated abroad while $8,147 million has been utilised domestically. The overall NRL currently stands at $2,544 million, equivalent to 19.96% of total RDA.

Within the NRL, Islamic Naya Pakistan Certificates (NPC) account for the largest share at $1,155 million, followed by account balances at $641 million, Conventional NPC at $555 million, equity investments at $123 million, and other liabilities at $70 million.

The scheme also continues to demonstrate strong year-on-year growth. Total inflows during the current financial year reached $2,184 million, compared to $1,925 million in the corresponding period last year, a rise of approximately 13.5%.

Repatriation and local utilisation during the same period came in at $1,630 million, up from $1,460 million a year earlier. On the participation front, 10,083 new accounts were opened during April alone, bringing the total number of RDA accounts to 927,483.

The record monthly inflow underscores sustained overseas Pakistani confidence in the RDA platform and signals continued momentum in foreign currency mobilisation through digital channels heading into the final stretch of the fiscal year.

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CategoriesBudget Economy Investment News Special Report Tax

Pakistan and IMF Chart Course for Budget 2026–27: A Critical Analysis

Pakistan and IMF Chart Course for Budget 2026–27: A Critical Analysis

By News Desk | May 14, 2026

Pakistan’s Finance Minister Senator Muhammad Aurangzeb met with a visiting International Monetary Fund (IMF) mission on May 13, 2026, in Islamabad for high-level discussions on the country’s macroeconomic outlook, the upcoming federal budget for fiscal year 2026–27, and the broader structural reform agenda. The meeting comes at a pivotal moment: the IMF had just approved a fresh disbursement of approximately $1.3 billion five days earlier, and Pakistan is navigating a complex economic environment shaped by external debt pressures, a volatile global commodity landscape, and the ongoing fallout from the Middle East conflict.

The Meeting: What Was Discussed

The talks, held between Minister Aurangzeb and IMF Mission Chief Ms Iva Petrova, covered four broad areas: macroeconomic stabilisation, upcoming budget preparations, structural reform priorities, and Pakistan’s engagement with international development partners.

According to the Ministry of Finance, both sides exchanged views on “maintaining reform momentum, preserving macroeconomic stability, and advancing structural reforms to promote investment, productivity, and export-led growth.” 

The minister highlighted improvements in Pakistan’s external sector, citing month-on-month and year-on-year growth in remittances and exports as evidence of strengthening macroeconomic fundamentals.

Aurangzeb framed the government’s reform agenda as a long-term and technically grounded one designed to break Pakistan’s historical pattern of boom-and-bust economic cycles. He stressed the importance of structural reforms, productivity enhancement, deregulation, and improved export competitiveness. He also briefed the delegation on Pakistan’s economic cooperation with China and efforts to attract long-term foreign investment.

The meeting was attended by key institutional heads, including State Bank of Pakistan (SBP) Governor Jameel Ahmad, Finance Division Secretary Imdad Ullah Bosal, and Federal Board of Revenue (FBR) Chairman Rashid Mahmood Langrial.

The $1.3 Billion Disbursement: Context and Significance

The meeting followed the SBP’s announcement that it had received SDR 914 million, approximately US$1.3 billion under two IMF programmes: the Extended Fund Facility (EFF) and the Resilience and Sustainability Facility (RSF). This brings total disbursements under both arrangements to SDR 3,348 billion, or roughly $4.8 billion.

The IMF Executive Board had approved the disbursement on May 8, 2026, following the successful completion of the third review under Pakistan’s 37-month EFF arrangement, which was first approved on September 25, 2024. 

An additional SDR 154 million (approximately $220 million) was disbursed under the RSF, the climate-focused facility approved on May 9, 2025, aimed at helping Pakistan build resilience against natural disasters.

The funds were credited to SBP accounts on May 12, 2026, and will be reflected in Pakistan’s official foreign exchange reserve figures for the week ending May 15, 2026.

IMF Deputy Managing Director Nigel Clarke, speaking after the Executive Board meeting, offered a pointed message alongside the approval: “Pakistan needs to maintain strong macroeconomic policies while accelerating reform efforts, which are critical to managing external shocks and fostering higher sustainable medium-term growth.” Clarke specifically flagged that shocks from the Middle East conflict underline the continued urgency of structural reforms.

IMF’s Formal Assessment

In its end-of-mission statement from March 2026, following the third EFF review, the IMF noted that “programme implementation under the EFF remained broadly aligned with the authorities’ commitments through end-February 2026.” The Fund acknowledged progress on fiscal consolidation, monetary policy tightening, and energy sector reforms, while also noting that discussions on deepening structural reforms were still ongoing.

Pakistan has committed under the programme to maintaining a primary budget surplus of 1.6% of GDP for FY2026, moving toward a 2% surplus target by FY2027. The IMF has maintained these targets firmly, declining to ease them despite weak tax collection performance by the FBR earlier in the year.

IMF Mission Chief Iva Petrova acknowledged that Pakistan’s authorities “remain committed to pursuing sound and prudent macroeconomic policies to preserve the recent gains in macro-financial stabilisation, while deepening structural reforms to accelerate growth and strengthening social protection to mitigate the impact of volatile energy prices on the most vulnerable.”

Budget 2026–27: What to Expect

According to sources cited by Business Recorder, the government is unlikely to introduce new taxes in the upcoming budget, instead aiming to meet its revenue targets through enforcement and administrative measures estimated at Rs 778–780 billion. The budget is expected to offer some relief to the salaried class, with Aurangzeb reportedly seeking to lower tax rates and raise the taxable income threshold in recognition of salaried workers’ disproportionate contribution to tax revenue.

The IMF delegation is also expected to consult with the Ministry of Energy and other departments on structural reforms in the power sector and state-owned enterprises (SOEs), aligning expenditure planning and revenue targets ahead of the formal budget presentation.

Expert Opinions: Cautious Optimism Mixed With Structural Concerns

While the IMF approval has been broadly welcomed as a confidence-building signal, independent economists have urged caution.

Analysts cited by Energy Update noted that “the IMF approval will provide short-term stability to financial markets while reinforcing investor confidence in Pakistan’s economic reform agenda and long-term fiscal sustainability.” However, they stopped short of calling the situation structurally resolved.

Economist Sajid Amin, commenting on the FY2025–26 budget earlier in the cycle, which set the framework now being built upon, offered a pointed critique: “Overall, I feel the budget falls short on structural and bold reforms; it is a stabilisation budget formed to meet revenue targets. The objective or principle guiding the budget is the incoming IMF tranche.” His view reflects a broader concern that Pakistan’s fiscal decisions are being shaped primarily by programme compliance rather than domestic economic strategy.

Economist Ali Hasnain echoed this, describing the prior budget as “relatively disciplined but within the status quo,” while warning that tariff reductions favouring import-dependent industries such as auto and mobile manufacturing do little for export competitiveness and remain “a road to nowhere.”

Perhaps most critically, economist and policy analyst Dr. Nadeem ul Haque, writing in a review of Pakistan’s economic press coverage, challenged the broader reform narrative head-on: “Pakistan has been in and out of IMF programs for four decades. Which structural reforms from earlier cycles actually survived?” He argued that the IMF’s diplomatic language, “accelerating reform efforts,” masks a recurring failure to build lasting institutional capacity. 

He described repeated cycles of tax reform, energy reform, privatisation, and governance reform returning under new labels, and characterised the programme’s revenue-heavy, expenditure-light architecture as potentially counterproductive: “Raising rates while undermining the productive base that generates the denominator of the very ratio being targeted is not fiscal reform, it is fiscal cannibalism.”

On the energy sector, one of the most critical areas of the reform agenda, Business Recorder’s editorial commentary noted that the circular debt, now approaching Rs 1.9 trillion, is not merely a cash-flow management challenge but rather “the accumulated financial residue of twenty years of politically driven IPP contracting, below-cost tariffs, and deep governance failure.”

The Bigger Picture: Stability Versus Transformation

The central tension in Pakistan’s current economic trajectory is one that the Aurangzeb-IMF meeting placed on full display: the difference between macroeconomic stabilisation and genuine structural transformation. Pakistan’s foreign exchange reserves have improved, reaching $16 billion by the end of December 2025, up from $14.5 billion in June 2025, and inflation has been brought progressively under control. These are measurable gains.

Yet the structural challenges, such as a narrow tax base, a bloated public sector, energy sector inefficiencies, high external liabilities, and a persistent inability to generate export-led growth, remain largely unresolved. The government’s stated commitment to moving Pakistan away from boom-and-bust cycles is not new; the same language has featured in reform agendas under multiple administrations.

What sets the current moment apart, analysts note, is the combination of continued IMF engagement, a Finance Minister with clear private-sector credentials, and crucially $4.8 billion in cumulative programme disbursements that have restored a degree of fiscal credibility. 

Whether this translates into durable transformation will depend on the content of Budget 2026–27, the pace of SOE privatisation, and the government’s ability to broaden the tax base without further burdening an already stretched formal sector.

Conclusion

The May 13 meeting between Finance Minister Aurangzeb and the IMF mission was substantive and, by official accounts, constructive. Pakistan has made measurable progress on macroeconomic stabilisation, a point the IMF itself has acknowledged. The $1.3 billion disbursement reflects continued programme compliance and offers near-term support to foreign exchange reserves.

However, the harder work of structural transformation in taxation, energy, governance, and SOE reform remains incomplete. As Budget 2026–27 takes shape, the critical question is whether the government will use this window of relative stability to introduce genuinely bold reforms, or whether, as critics have cautioned, the budget will once again be calibrated primarily around programme targets rather than Pakistan’s long-term economic needs.

References

Clarke, N. (2026, May 8). Statement on the IMF Executive Board approval of third EFF review for Pakistan. International Monetary Fund. https://www.energyupdate.com.pk/2026/05/09/imf-approves-1-3bn-for-pakistan-warns-of-rising-risks-from-middle-east-conflict/

Dawn. (2026, May 13). Finance minister discusses budget preparations with visiting IMF mission. https://www.dawn.com/news/1999908

Dawn. (2025, June 10). ‘Short of structural, bold reforms’: Finance experts unpack 2025–26 budget. https://www.dawn.com/news/1916314

International Monetary Fund. (2026, March 11). Pakistan: End-of-mission statement on the third review of the 37-month extended arrangement under the EFF and the second review of 28-month arrangement under the RSF. https://www.imf.org/en/news/articles/2026/03/11/pr-26075-pakistan

International Monetary Fund. (2026, March 27). IMF reaches staff-level agreement on the third review for the 37-month extended arrangement under the EFF and the second review under the RSF Pakistan. https://www.imf.org/en/news/articles/2026/03/27/pr-26095-pakistan

Kundi, I. A. (2026, May 14). Finance minister briefs IMF on upcoming budget. The Nation. https://www.nation.com.pk/14-May-2026/finance-minister-briefs-imf-upcoming-budget

Petrova, I. (2026, March 27). IMF reaches staff-level deal with Pakistan for $1.2bn tranche after third EFF review. The Express Tribune. https://tribune.com.pk/story/2599737

ul Haque, N. (2026, May 8). A review of economic journalism and opinion pages, May 1–8, 2026: More information, limited inquiry. Nadeem ul Haque Substack. https://nadeemulhaque.substack.com/p/a-review-of-economic-journalism-and

Web Desk. (2026, May 13). FinMin Aurangzeb discusses upcoming budget preparations, economic reforms in meeting with IMF mission. The Express Tribune. https://tribune.com.pk/story/2607861

Web Desk. (2026, May 13). Pakistan, IMF discuss upcoming federal budget. Business Recorder. https://www.brecorder.com/news/40420959